Hospital readmission after distal pancreatectomy is predicted by specific intra- and post-operative factors

Background: Distal pancreatectomy (DP) continues to carry a significant risk of morbidity resulting in hospital readmissions and increased costs. Prognostic factors predicting 30-day readmission after DP were evaluated. Methods: Data were collected from 946 patients undergoing DP at the University of Verona Hospital Trust and the Massachusetts General Hospital between 2004 and 2014. Patients were divided into a derivation and a validation cohort. Results: The 30-day readmission rate was 13.9%. Predictors of readmission were age over 60 years (OR 1.8), intraoperative transfusions (OR 2.02), CR-POPF (OR 2.4), abdominal abscesses (OR 3.9), and urinary tract infections (OR 5.9). The score generated by the derivation cohort was validated identifying three different categories with a progressively increased risk for readmission. Conclusion: One out of seven patients undergoing DP will be readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Comorbidities seems not to affect the risk. A 10-point score predicts the risk of 30-days readmission.