Classification of Seismic Volcanic Signals Using Hidden Markov Models-based Generative Embeddings

The automated classification of seismic volcanic sig- nals has been faced with several different pattern recognition approaches. Among them, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have been advocated as a cost-effective option having the advantages of a straightforward Bayesian interpretation and the capacity of dealing with seismic sequences of different lengths. In the volcano seismology scenario, HMM-based classification schemes were only based on a standard and purely generative scheme, i.e., the Bayes rule: training an HMM per class and classifying an incoming seismic signal according to the class whose model shows the highest likelihood. In this paper, a novel HMM-based classification approach for pretriggered seismic volcanic signals is proposed. The main idea is to enrich the classical HMM scheme with a discriminative step that is able to recover from situations when the classical Bayes classification rule is not sufficient. More in detail, a generative embedding scheme is used, which employs the models to map the signals into a vector space, which is called generative embedding space. In such a space, any discriminative vector-based classifier can be applied. A thorough set of experiments, which is carried out on pretriggered signals recorded at Galeras Volcano in Colombia, shows that the proposed approach typically outper- forms standard HMM-based classification schemes, also in some cross-station cases.