We propose a class of score-driven realized covariance models where volatilities and correlations are separately estimated. We can thus combine univariate realized volatility models with a recently introduced class of score-driven realized covariance models based on Wishart and matrix-F distributions. Compared to the latter, the proposed models remain computationally simple at high dimensions and allow for higher flexibility in parameter estimation. Through a Monte-Carlo study, we show that the two-step maximum likelihood procedure provides accurate parameter estimates in small samples. Empirically, we find that the proposed models outperform those based on joint estimation, with forecasting gains that become more significant as the cross-section dimension increases.

A DCC-type approach for realized covariance modeling with score-driven dynamics

Buccheri, Giuseppe;
2021-01-01

Abstract

We propose a class of score-driven realized covariance models where volatilities and correlations are separately estimated. We can thus combine univariate realized volatility models with a recently introduced class of score-driven realized covariance models based on Wishart and matrix-F distributions. Compared to the latter, the proposed models remain computationally simple at high dimensions and allow for higher flexibility in parameter estimation. Through a Monte-Carlo study, we show that the two-step maximum likelihood procedure provides accurate parameter estimates in small samples. Empirically, we find that the proposed models outperform those based on joint estimation, with forecasting gains that become more significant as the cross-section dimension increases.
2021
Realized covariance
Dynamic dependencies
Covariance forecasting
Score-driven models
Estimation errors
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
buccheri2020ijf.pdf

non disponibili

Licenza: Copyright dell'editore
Dimensione 1.43 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
1.43 MB Adobe PDF   Visualizza/Apri   Richiedi una copia
buccheri2020ijfOnlineAppendix.pdf

non disponibili

Licenza: Copyright dell'editore
Dimensione 839.55 kB
Formato Adobe PDF
839.55 kB Adobe PDF   Visualizza/Apri   Richiedi una copia

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11562/1051959
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 9
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 6
social impact