What is the emergent long-run equilibrium of a society, where many interacting agents bet on the optimal energy to put in place in order to climb on the Bandwagon? In this paper, we study the collective behavior of a large population of agents being either Left or Right: The core idea is that agents benefit from being with the winner party, but, on the other hand, they suffer a cost in changing their status quo. At the microscopic level, the model is formulated as a stochastic, symmetric dynamic game with N players. In the macroscopic limit as N ->+infinitydocumentclass[12pt]minimal \usepackageamsmath \usepackagewasysym \usepackageamsfonts \usepackageamssymb \usepackageamsbsy \usepackagemathrsfs \usepackageupgreek setlengthoddsidemargin-69pt egindocument$$N ightarrow +,infty $$enddocument, the model can be rephrased as a mean field game, whose equilibria describe the "rational" collective behavior of the society. It is of particular interest to detect the emerging long time attractors, e.g., consensus or oscillating behavior. Significantly, we discover that bandwagoning can be persistent at the macrolevel: We provide evidence, also on the basis of numerical simulations, of endogenously generated periodicity.

Climb on the Bandwagon: Consensus and Periodicity in a Lifetime Utility Model with Strategic Interactions

DAI PRA, Paolo;
2019-01-01

Abstract

What is the emergent long-run equilibrium of a society, where many interacting agents bet on the optimal energy to put in place in order to climb on the Bandwagon? In this paper, we study the collective behavior of a large population of agents being either Left or Right: The core idea is that agents benefit from being with the winner party, but, on the other hand, they suffer a cost in changing their status quo. At the microscopic level, the model is formulated as a stochastic, symmetric dynamic game with N players. In the macroscopic limit as N ->+infinitydocumentclass[12pt]minimal \usepackageamsmath \usepackagewasysym \usepackageamsfonts \usepackageamssymb \usepackageamsbsy \usepackagemathrsfs \usepackageupgreek setlengthoddsidemargin-69pt egindocument$$N ightarrow +,infty $$enddocument, the model can be rephrased as a mean field game, whose equilibria describe the "rational" collective behavior of the society. It is of particular interest to detect the emerging long time attractors, e.g., consensus or oscillating behavior. Significantly, we discover that bandwagoning can be persistent at the macrolevel: We provide evidence, also on the basis of numerical simulations, of endogenously generated periodicity.
2019
Consensus; Mean field games; Multiple Nash equilibria; Opinion dynamics; Social interactions
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11562/1007622
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