This paper develops a regional dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated using two regional SAMs for the Italian region Valle D'Aosta for the years 1963 and 2002. A historical calibration procedure is performed over the 40 years period and ensures that the modelled tendencies perfectly reproduce the actual observed growth patterns of the main regional macroeconomic variables. The dynamic general equilibrium model provides an original and powerful tool for historical counterfactual analysis not available using standard dynamic general equilibrium models. The model is used to compare the growth path followed by the region during the period of interest with a counterfactual scenario intended to evaluate how the region would have performed in the case of a contraction of the transfers from the national government to the regional government and the families.

A regional dynamic general equilibrium model with historical calibration: a counterfactual exercise

Federico Perali;
2018-01-01

Abstract

This paper develops a regional dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated using two regional SAMs for the Italian region Valle D'Aosta for the years 1963 and 2002. A historical calibration procedure is performed over the 40 years period and ensures that the modelled tendencies perfectly reproduce the actual observed growth patterns of the main regional macroeconomic variables. The dynamic general equilibrium model provides an original and powerful tool for historical counterfactual analysis not available using standard dynamic general equilibrium models. The model is used to compare the growth path followed by the region during the period of interest with a counterfactual scenario intended to evaluate how the region would have performed in the case of a contraction of the transfers from the national government to the regional government and the families.
2018
978-3-319-58532-1
regional dynamic general equilibrium model, historical calibration, historical counterfactual analysis
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11562/983430
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