Doses and models in risk assessment analysis for bronchial hyperresponsiveness

The aims of this study are: (1) to evaluate whether the estimates of the association of risk factors with bronchial hyperresponsiveness (BHR) depends on the accumulated dose administered in challenge tests; and (2) to verify whether a model developed for survival studies (Weibull regression) is suited to analyze methacholine dose-response curves. For these purposes, 863 challenge tests, from EC Respiratory Health Survey in Italy, up to a cumulative dose of 6 mg methacholine, were analyzed by Weibull regression and by traditional methods (logistic model and linear model), both before and after truncation of the curves at 2 mg. With all methods the main risk factors for BHR were respiratory symptoms and atopy while age and airway caliber exerted a protective action. Our results confirmed that in epidemiological surveys 2 mg methacholine is enough to fully appreciate the effect of risk factors on BHR and showed that the Weibull model explains the observed variability better than linear and logistic regressions.